https://youtu.be/y25NpTDF5Ec In one of the most hotly contested Senate races, the most recent debate between Joni Ernst, incumbent Republican Senator, against Democratic challenger, Theresa Greenfield, showed precisely how distanced a candidate can get from their state. Iowa is one of the senate seats that the Democrats think they may flip…
Articles by Chuck
“All those manufacturing jobs have left Ohio. They’re all coming back. Don’t move. Don’t sell your house” Donald Trump 7/25/2017 Looking back at the 2016 election, Ohio’s voters were disproportionately white working-class, and President Trump’s message resonated with them. (Griffin, Teixeira, & Halpin , 2017) Move ahead four years, Trump…
Key Takeaways Even though President Trump got in most words, debate watchers tend to see former Vice President Biden as the overall winner. However, there was a sizable number who undecided.Nebraska polling data is all over the place regarding who they are going to vote for, everywhere from Biden +7…
Key Takeaways Biden now leads by 9 points nationally (51% to 42%) and maintains his advantage across the seventeen “key” states for my analysis.Biden now leads by 1.1 points in the state of Ohio. This is the first time he has lead in that state for 2020 since July.Biden has…
Former Vice Presidents lead has decreased by about 1.2 from a spread of +8 to +6.8 over the last week, this results in Biden at 50.3% and President Trump at 43.5%. All of the polls excluding Rasmussen Reports has Vice President Biden winning between a +4 and +9 margin with…
Last week I posted a brief overview of Lichtman’s 13-keys from his book Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House and applied them to today’s political landscape. From this assessment, Vice President Biden has a substantial lead. This week, my focus turned to battleground states and applying…
Several years ago, I became fascinated by a history professor at American University named Allan Lichtman and his book Predicting the Next President, The Keys to the White House. In his book, he laid out 13 keys to predicting a President. Over the last several decades, Professor Lichtman has been…
Yesterday I posted an article from The Atlantic and a video from The Lincoln Project on Facebook. Both made allegations of comments that President Trump has made concerning the military. I knew who would instantly comment that the story was total BS or #fakenews. Here is the deal. I grew…
I have been told that this is easy to armchair quarterback the response. Woulda, coulda, shoulda are easy ways to look at an event and rationalize how you would have reacted. This analysis was simply taking the plan, the one that we developed for this situation, and laying out and…
Within hours of Captain Crozier’s letter to the Pentagon hitting the San Francisco Chronicle, my Facebook feed lit up with the armchair Admiralty holding court and determining the fate of the Captain, the Navy, and the Administration. As a former Sailor and Soldier (I served in two branches of the…