The most significant trend that I have noted over the last two weeks is the decrease in the number of undecided voters. For many weeks, between five and seven percent of people surveyed supported neither President Trump nor former Vice-President Biden. Polls conducted post-final presidential debate suggest a dramatic decline…

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Statistically, past debates do not move the needle in Presidential Elections.  The third and final debate occurred less than 24 hours ago, and every news outlet and political blog has anointed the winner. Without a standard for scoring a debate, determining victory becomes subjective. From my perspective, the final debate…

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“All those manufacturing jobs have left Ohio. They’re all coming back. Don’t move. Don’t sell your house” Donald Trump 7/25/2017 Looking back at the 2016 election, Ohio’s voters were disproportionately white working-class, and President Trump’s message resonated with them. (Griffin, Teixeira, & Halpin , 2017)    Move ahead four years, Trump…

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Key Takeaways Biden now leads by 9 points nationally (51% to 42%) and maintains his advantage across the seventeen “key” states for my analysis.Biden now leads by 1.1 points in the state of Ohio. This is the first time he has lead in that state for 2020 since July.Biden has…

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Former Vice Presidents lead has decreased by about 1.2 from a spread of +8 to +6.8 over the last week, this results in Biden at 50.3% and President Trump at 43.5%.   All of the polls excluding Rasmussen Reports has Vice President Biden winning between a +4 and +9 margin with…

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Several years ago, I became fascinated by a history professor at American University named Allan Lichtman and his book Predicting the Next President, The Keys to the White House.  In his book, he laid out 13 keys to predicting a President.  Over the last several decades, Professor Lichtman has been…

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Yesterday I posted an article from The Atlantic and a video from The Lincoln Project on Facebook. Both made allegations of comments that President Trump has made concerning the military.  I knew who would instantly comment that the story was total BS or #fakenews.  Here is the deal.  I grew…

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